3 Predictions.

1. The Senate will absolutely, 100%, pass the House reconciliation bill. They will strip out the Cornhusker Kickback, the Louisiana Purchase, all of the main Republican talking points, and then disavow the initial votes. Passing the reconciliation bill not only passes the bill, but gives political cover to Senatorial sausage-making from the first go-round. It's a big net plus for the Senate.

2. All the parliamentary objections to the reconciliation bill will be completely ignored. The Democrats DO NOT CARE about means, only ends.

3. Call this the Geraghty Theorum: Obama will revise or abandon the Stupak executive order within 18 months.

[I was going to make another prediction regarding the amount of alcohol I would be consuming this evening, but that would be more of a retrospective at this point. I watched the Stupak presser.]